Current forecast models indicate a moderating trend for Munich on June 30, with maximum temperatures likely near 25–27°C amid increasing cloud cover and patchy rain associated with an approaching frontal system. This follows several days of above-average warmth, with recent highs reaching 33–35°C, which has kept market-implied odds clustered around 28°C (32%) and 29°C (24%). Key variables include the exact timing of cooling advection, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for localized clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 29–30°C. Ensemble spreads remain wide this close to the event, with official guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service expected to refine the diurnal peak and precipitation timing over the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on June 30?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$161,048 Vol.
$161,048 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$161,048 Vol.
$161,048 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecast models indicate a moderating trend for Munich on June 30, with maximum temperatures likely near 25–27°C amid increasing cloud cover and patchy rain associated with an approaching frontal system. This follows several days of above-average warmth, with recent highs reaching 33–35°C, which has kept market-implied odds clustered around 28°C (32%) and 29°C (24%). Key variables include the exact timing of cooling advection, boundary-layer mixing, and potential for localized clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 29–30°C. Ensemble spreads remain wide this close to the event, with official guidance from agencies like the German Weather Service expected to refine the diurnal peak and precipitation timing over the next 48 hours.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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