**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C for Shanghai’s July 3 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance showing highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Climatological July averages place daytime peaks at 30–32°C, yet the immediate forecast incorporates modest cooling from increased cloud cover and rainfall that limits insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of convective cells, which can shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop before afternoon heating maxima, versus clearer intervals allowing temperatures to reach the upper end of guidance. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability that keeps adjacent 1°C bins nearly equally probable in the market. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月3日の上海の最高気温は？
7月3日の上海の最高気温は？
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$222,150 Vol.
$222,150 Vol.
2026/07/03
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$222,150 Vol.
$222,150 Vol.
2026/07/03
24°C or below
$2,775 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,777 Vol.
No
26°C
$8,438 Vol.
No
27°C
$12,162 Vol.
No
28°C
$11,892 Vol.
No
29°C
$18,847 Vol.
No
30°C
$22,612 Vol.
No
31°C
$48,598 Vol.
No
32°C
$50,856 Vol.
No
33°C
$23,734 Vol.
Yes
34°C or higher
$20,459 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C for Shanghai’s July 3 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance showing highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.**
Climatological July averages place daytime peaks at 30–32°C, yet the immediate forecast incorporates modest cooling from increased cloud cover and rainfall that limits insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of convective cells, which can shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop before afternoon heating maxima, versus clearer intervals allowing temperatures to reach the upper end of guidance. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability that keeps adjacent 1°C bins nearly equally probable in the market. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$222,150終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C for Shanghai’s July 3 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance showing highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.**
Climatological July averages place daytime peaks at 30–32°C, yet the immediate forecast incorporates modest cooling from increased cloud cover and rainfall that limits insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of convective cells, which can shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop before afternoon heating maxima, versus clearer intervals allowing temperatures to reach the upper end of guidance. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability that keeps adjacent 1°C bins nearly equally probable in the market. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$222,150終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 28–30°C for Shanghai’s July 3 maximum, reflecting short-range model guidance showing highs near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Climatological July averages place daytime peaks at 30–32°C, yet the immediate forecast incorporates modest cooling from increased cloud cover and rainfall that limits insolation and enhances evaporative cooling. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing of convective cells, which can shave 1–2°C off peak readings if they develop before afternoon heating maxima, versus clearer intervals allowing temperatures to reach the upper end of guidance. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island effects add further micro-scale variability that keeps adjacent 1°C bins nearly equally probable in the market. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問