Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月3日の深センの最高気温は？
7月3日の深センの最高気温は？
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$129,153 Vol.
$129,153 Vol.
2026/07/03
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$129,153 Vol.
$129,153 Vol.
2026/07/03
25°C or below
$2,494 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,679 Vol.
No
27°C
$11,692 Vol.
No
28°C
$22,650 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,486 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,370 Vol.
No
31°C
$18,996 Vol.
No
32°C
$13,129 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$19,846 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,990 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$7,820 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$129,153終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$129,153終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C for Shenzhen’s July 3 maximum, reflecting ensemble forecasts from subtropical summer conditions where monsoon moisture and cloud cover typically cap afternoon peaks near the July climatological average of 32°C. High humidity from the South China Sea, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential thundershowers, creates narrow differentiation among these outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward 34°C or higher. With the event only two days away, the latest runs from regional models and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will likely shift implied probabilities as diurnal heating and steering patterns become clearer.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問