Current ensemble forecasts for coastal Tel Aviv on June 30 point to a maximum temperature in the 29–32°C range under stable high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderate westerly sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus clusters near 30°C, yet recent runs show modest spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and any thin high cloud that could reduce insolation by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C, reflecting the possibility of slightly stronger offshore flow or warmer advection in the final model updates before resolution. Historical June climatology supports this tight distribution, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 33°C absent exceptional heat events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月30日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,494 Vol.
$53,494 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,494 Vol.
$53,494 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current ensemble forecasts for coastal Tel Aviv on June 30 point to a maximum temperature in the 29–32°C range under stable high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderate westerly sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus clusters near 30°C, yet recent runs show modest spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and any thin high cloud that could reduce insolation by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C, reflecting the possibility of slightly stronger offshore flow or warmer advection in the final model updates before resolution. Historical June climatology supports this tight distribution, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 33°C absent exceptional heat events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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