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4月19日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？

Market icon

4月19日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？

4月 16

4月 17

4月 18

4月 19

4月 16

4月 17

4月 18

4月 19

54～55°F 30%

56〜57°F 25%

58～59°F 24%

52～53°F 13%

Polymarket
新規

54～55°F 30%

56〜57°F 25%

58～59°F 24%

52～53°F 13%

Polymarket
新規

47°F以下

$177 Vol.

2%

48～49°F

$31 Vol.

4%

50～51°F

$104 Vol.

3%

52～53°F

$38 Vol.

13%

54～55°F

$53 Vol.

30%

56〜57°F

$39 Vol.

25%

58～59°F

$182 Vol.

24%

60～61°F

$54 Vol.

9%

62～63°F

$334 Vol.

5%

64～65°F

$223 Vol.

1%

華氏66度以上

$241 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for NYC's highest temperature on April 19 at 54-55°F, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles showing mid-50s highs amid an advancing upper-level trough and frontal boundary. Following record-shattering warmth—90°F at Central Park on April 15 and upper-80s on April 16—a surge of cooler Canadian air will suppress daytime heating, with increased cloud cover and shower risks limiting peaks below the April climatological average of 62°F. Nearby outcomes like 58-59°F (21%) and 56-57°F (16.5%) capture model spread of ±3°F typical in spring transitional patterns. Watch 00Z/12Z model runs Saturday for refinements ahead of resolution based on Central Park observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,465
終了日
2026/04/19
マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

結算ソース

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 35.5% implied probability for NYC's highest temperature on April 19 at 54-55°F, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles showing mid-50s highs amid an advancing upper-level trough and frontal boundary. Following record-shattering warmth—90°F at Central Park on April 15 and upper-80s on April 16—a surge of cooler Canadian air will suppress daytime heating, with increased cloud cover and shower risks limiting peaks below the April climatological average of 62°F. Nearby outcomes like 58-59°F (21%) and 56-57°F (16.5%) capture model spread of ±3°F typical in spring transitional patterns. Watch 00Z/12Z model runs Saturday for refinements ahead of resolution based on Central Park observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,465
終了日
2026/04/19
マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

結算ソース

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4月19日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「54～55°F」で30%、次いで「56〜57°F」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、30¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に30%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「4月19日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 17, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「4月19日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月19日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「54～55°F」で30%であり、市場がこの結果に30%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「56〜57°F」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月19日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。