Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 25?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 25?
50-51°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$167,835 Vol.
$167,835 Vol.
2026/04/25
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
Yes
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
No
50-51°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$167,835 Vol.
$167,835 Vol.
2026/04/25
39°F or below
$2,372 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$4,939 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$6,477 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$12,214 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$17,316 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$34,300 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$40,592 Vol.
Yes
52-53°F
$20,894 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$9,154 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$7,754 Vol.
No
58°F or higher
$11,824 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 23, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
音量
$167,835終了日
2026/04/25マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 12:19 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$167,835終了日
2026/04/25マーケット開始日
Apr 23, 2026, 12:19 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F high temperature in New York City on April 25, 2026, anchored by the official National Weather Service climatological report from Central Park observatory, which recorded a maximum of 50°F at 1:34 AM local standard time. This unusually chilly outcome, 16°F below the 66°F April norm, stemmed from a persistent low-pressure system delivering 0.33 inches of rain, fog, and southeast winds gusting to 20 mph, suppressing daytime heating and yielding an average temperature of 46°F. With the final daily observations verified, no realistic scenarios—such as rare post hoc data corrections—pose meaningful challenges to this resolution, reflecting the precision of ASOS measurements at the site's standardized location.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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