Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on May 31?
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$101,127 Vol.
$101,127 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$101,127 Vol.
$101,127 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: May 29, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service and LaGuardia Airport station recorded a daytime maximum of 76–77°F in New York City on May 31 under partly sunny skies and light northerly flow, aligning with ensemble model guidance that converged on this range near late-May climatological norms of roughly 72°F. This verified measurement drives the market’s 100% implied probability for the 76–77°F bin, reflecting traders’ assessment of real-time surface data and station protocols. Minor variations in station siting or rounding could theoretically affect resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare once final observations are posted.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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