The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Panama City on June 2?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 2?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$8,658 Vol.
$8,658 Vol.
2026/06/02
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$8,658 Vol.
$8,658 Vol.
2026/06/02
21°C or below
$213 Vol.
No
22°C
$287 Vol.
No
23°C
$281 Vol.
No
24°C
$291 Vol.
No
25°C
$301 Vol.
No
26°C
$472 Vol.
No
27°C
$333 Vol.
No
28°C
$811 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,871 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,906 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$1,894 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$8,658終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,658終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
May 31, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The market's near-certain 100% implied probability for a high of 31°C or above on June 2 stems from Panama City's equatorial tropical climate, where climatological averages place typical daytime highs at 30–33°C during early June with minimal day-to-day variability. Official long-term records show temperatures rarely dip below 29°C even amid seasonal rains, as consistent solar heating and warm Caribbean moisture flows maintain elevated readings. Trader consensus aligns with this low historical deviation, reinforced by recent seasonal model guidance showing no significant cooling influences such as atypical cloud cover or frontal intrusions. A realistic challenge would require an unprecedented cold surge or measurement anomaly at official stations, though such events fall well outside observed ranges for the location and period.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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