Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
Highest temperature in Panama City on May 1?
33°C or higher 99.6%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,997 Vol.
$47,997 Vol.
2026/05/01
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
Yes
33°C or higher 99.6%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$47,997 Vol.
$47,997 Vol.
2026/05/01
23°C or below
$554 Vol.
No
24°C
$71 Vol.
No
25°C
$700 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,210 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,874 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,017 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,378 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,361 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,764 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,075 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$18,995 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
音量
$47,997終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$47,997終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 12:15 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C or higher as the highest temperature at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting strong alignment across major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF, which project peak daytime highs of 34–35°C under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar heating. This positioning stems from the past 24 hours' observations of already elevated morning temperatures and minimal cloud cover, atypical for early May's rainy season onset, combined with low wind speeds limiting sea-breeze moderation. Historical airport data shows similar synoptic setups routinely yielding 33°C+ peaks, with model ensembles assigning over 95% probability. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or strengthened onshore flow capping highs below 33°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; monitor hourly METAR reports for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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