Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France position a high temperature of 17°C in Paris on April 17 as the leading outcome at 50% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions under westerly Atlantic flows delivering cool, moist air masses. Over the past 48 hours, model refinements have converged on this figure after earlier runs hinted at slightly warmer peaks, influenced by persistent partial cloud cover and moderate winds capping daytime heating near climatological norms of 16–17°C for mid-April. Symmetric tail risks for 16°C or below (25.5%) and 26°C or higher (25.5%) account for potential cold snaps or unexpected ridging, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; watch daily updates from the National Meteorological Service for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on April 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 17?
17°C 50%
16°C or below 26%
26°C or higher 26%
21°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
16°C or below
26%
17°C
50%
18°C
18%
19°C
18%
20°C
18%
21°C
19%
22°C
19%
23°C
17%
24°C
14%
25°C
11%
26°C or higher
26%
17°C 50%
16°C or below 26%
26°C or higher 26%
21°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
19%
22°C
$0 Vol.
19%
23°C
$0 Vol.
17%
24°C
$0 Vol.
14%
25°C
$50 Vol.
11%
26°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France position a high temperature of 17°C in Paris on April 17 as the leading outcome at 50% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions under westerly Atlantic flows delivering cool, moist air masses. Over the past 48 hours, model refinements have converged on this figure after earlier runs hinted at slightly warmer peaks, influenced by persistent partial cloud cover and moderate winds capping daytime heating near climatological norms of 16–17°C for mid-April. Symmetric tail risks for 16°C or below (25.5%) and 26°C or higher (25.5%) account for potential cold snaps or unexpected ridging, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; watch daily updates from the National Meteorological Service for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$50終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France position a high temperature of 17°C in Paris on April 17 as the leading outcome at 50% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions under westerly Atlantic flows delivering cool, moist air masses. Over the past 48 hours, model refinements have converged on this figure after earlier runs hinted at slightly warmer peaks, influenced by persistent partial cloud cover and moderate winds capping daytime heating near climatological norms of 16–17°C for mid-April. Symmetric tail risks for 16°C or below (25.5%) and 26°C or higher (25.5%) account for potential cold snaps or unexpected ridging, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; watch daily updates from the National Meteorological Service for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$50終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France position a high temperature of 17°C in Paris on April 17 as the leading outcome at 50% market-implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on mild spring conditions under westerly Atlantic flows delivering cool, moist air masses. Over the past 48 hours, model refinements have converged on this figure after earlier runs hinted at slightly warmer peaks, influenced by persistent partial cloud cover and moderate winds capping daytime heating near climatological norms of 16–17°C for mid-April. Symmetric tail risks for 16°C or below (25.5%) and 26°C or higher (25.5%) account for potential cold snaps or unexpected ridging, though inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists; watch daily updates from the National Meteorological Service for shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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