Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月23日のパリの最高気温は？
6月23日のパリの最高気温は？
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$213,178 Vol.
$213,178 Vol.
2026/06/23
35°C or below
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
35°C or below 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$213,178 Vol.
$213,178 Vol.
2026/06/23
35°C or below
$65,968 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$26,386 Vol.
No
37°C
$28,443 Vol.
No
38°C
$22,034 Vol.
No
39°C
$16,891 Vol.
No
40°C
$17,583 Vol.
No
41°C
$16,393 Vol.
No
42°C
$6,118 Vol.
No
43°C
$5,797 Vol.
No
44°C
$3,223 Vol.
No
45°C or higher
$4,340 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$213,178終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$213,178終了日
2026/06/23マーケット開始日
Jun 21, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Recent European heatwave conditions driven by advection of hot African air masses and a persistent high-pressure ridge have elevated Paris temperatures well above seasonal norms, with Météo-France reporting 36–37°C highs around the June 21 solstice and models projecting further intensification by June 23. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon peaks clustering in the upper 30s under mostly clear skies and light winds, with urban heat island effects and downslope warming adding 1–2°C locally. The near-even market split between 39°C and 40°C reflects subtle divergences in numerical weather prediction runs regarding exact peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any transient cloud or moisture influences that could shave or add a degree. Updated high-resolution model outputs and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問