Marine layer advection from the Pacific continues to moderate San Francisco temperatures, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 66°F for July 7 amid gradual afternoon clearing. This keeps trader consensus tightly clustered on the 64–67°F bins, reflecting model agreement on onshore flow and stratus persistence that limits daytime heating. Key variables differentiating outcomes include marine layer depth and wind speeds, which control how much solar radiation reaches the surface before any late-day clearing; stronger or thicker layers favor the lower 64–65°F range, while quicker erosion could push readings into the upper 60s. Typical July climatology of 67°F highs provides context, yet the current pattern aligns with cooler coastal conditions observed in recent days. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月7日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は?
62〜63°F 100.0%
53°F以下 <1%
54~55°F <1%
56〜57°F <1%
$63,561 Vol.
$63,561 Vol.
53°F以下
いいえ
54~55°F
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58~59°F
いいえ
60~61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
はい
64〜65°F
いいえ
66〜67°F
いいえ
68〜69°F
いいえ
70~71°F
いいえ
72°F以上
いいえ
62〜63°F 100.0%
53°F以下 <1%
54~55°F <1%
56〜57°F <1%
$63,561 Vol.
$63,561 Vol.
53°F以下
いいえ
54~55°F
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58~59°F
いいえ
60~61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
はい
64〜65°F
いいえ
66〜67°F
いいえ
68〜69°F
いいえ
70~71°F
いいえ
72°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Marine layer advection from the Pacific continues to moderate San Francisco temperatures, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 66°F for July 7 amid gradual afternoon clearing. This keeps trader consensus tightly clustered on the 64–67°F bins, reflecting model agreement on onshore flow and stratus persistence that limits daytime heating. Key variables differentiating outcomes include marine layer depth and wind speeds, which control how much solar radiation reaches the surface before any late-day clearing; stronger or thicker layers favor the lower 64–65°F range, while quicker erosion could push readings into the upper 60s. Typical July climatology of 67°F highs provides context, yet the current pattern aligns with cooler coastal conditions observed in recent days. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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