Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm yesterday's high temperature reached 62-63°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that bin amid negligible volume on alternatives. Persistent onshore flow and thick marine stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models from NOAA that projected peaks in the low 60s under cool coastal conditions typical for early May, when climatological highs average 64-65°F but often dip lower with Pacific influence. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, such as uncovering a brief higher spike, though preliminary airport readings are highly reliable; final NWS climatological summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月4日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
5月4日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
62〜63°F 100.0%
47°F以下 <1%
48～49°F <1%
50～51°F <1%
$110,817 Vol.
$110,817 Vol.
2026/05/04
47°F以下
いいえ
48～49°F
いいえ
50～51°F
いいえ
52〜53°F
いいえ
54～55°F
いいえ
56～57°F
いいえ
58〜59°F
いいえ
60～61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
はい
64〜65°F
いいえ
66°F以上
いいえ
62〜63°F 100.0%
47°F以下 <1%
48～49°F <1%
50～51°F <1%
$110,817 Vol.
$110,817 Vol.
2026/05/04
47°F以下
$956 Vol.
いいえ
48～49°F
$317 Vol.
いいえ
50～51°F
$911 Vol.
いいえ
52〜53°F
$1,851 Vol.
いいえ
54～55°F
$1,005 Vol.
いいえ
56～57°F
$1,734 Vol.
いいえ
58〜59°F
$14,779 Vol.
いいえ
60～61°F
$5,536 Vol.
いいえ
62〜63°F
$14,043 Vol.
はい
64〜65°F
$40,136 Vol.
いいえ
66°F以上
$29,549 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm yesterday's high temperature reached 62-63°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that bin amid negligible volume on alternatives. Persistent onshore flow and thick marine stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models from NOAA that projected peaks in the low 60s under cool coastal conditions typical for early May, when climatological highs average 64-65°F but often dip lower with Pacific influence. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, such as uncovering a brief higher spike, though preliminary airport readings are highly reliable; final NWS climatological summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$110,817終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm yesterday's high temperature reached 62-63°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that bin amid negligible volume on alternatives. Persistent onshore flow and thick marine stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models from NOAA that projected peaks in the low 60s under cool coastal conditions typical for early May, when climatological highs average 64-65°F but often dip lower with Pacific influence. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, such as uncovering a brief higher spike, though preliminary airport readings are highly reliable; final NWS climatological summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$110,817終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm yesterday's high temperature reached 62-63°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that bin amid negligible volume on alternatives. Persistent onshore flow and thick marine stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models from NOAA that projected peaks in the low 60s under cool coastal conditions typical for early May, when climatological highs average 64-65°F but often dip lower with Pacific influence. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, such as uncovering a brief higher spike, though preliminary airport readings are highly reliable; final NWS climatological summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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