**Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station confirm the highest temperature reached 28°C on May 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds ahead of an incoming cold front.** This aligns precisely with pre-event INMET forecasts projecting a 28°C maximum, driven by transient autumn ridge warming that temporarily boosted temperatures above May's climatological average of 22–23°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data from authoritative stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured peak. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from SBGR or INMET, such as sensor recalibrations, though model-observation consistency makes shifts improbable as final reports finalize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 9?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 9?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$60,724 Vol.
$60,724 Vol.
2026/05/09
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$60,724 Vol.
$60,724 Vol.
2026/05/09
24°C or below
$7,069 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,306 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,097 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,128 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,804 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$9,340 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,978 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,598 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,970 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,298 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$3,136 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station confirm the highest temperature reached 28°C on May 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds ahead of an incoming cold front.** This aligns precisely with pre-event INMET forecasts projecting a 28°C maximum, driven by transient autumn ridge warming that temporarily boosted temperatures above May's climatological average of 22–23°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data from authoritative stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured peak. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from SBGR or INMET, such as sensor recalibrations, though model-observation consistency makes shifts improbable as final reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$60,724終了日
2026/05/09マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station confirm the highest temperature reached 28°C on May 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds ahead of an incoming cold front.** This aligns precisely with pre-event INMET forecasts projecting a 28°C maximum, driven by transient autumn ridge warming that temporarily boosted temperatures above May's climatological average of 22–23°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data from authoritative stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured peak. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from SBGR or INMET, such as sensor recalibrations, though model-observation consistency makes shifts improbable as final reports finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$60,724終了日
2026/05/09マーケット開始日
May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Official observations from Brazil's National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station confirm the highest temperature reached 28°C on May 9, 2026, under mostly cloudy conditions with light northerly winds ahead of an incoming cold front.** This aligns precisely with pre-event INMET forecasts projecting a 28°C maximum, driven by transient autumn ridge warming that temporarily boosted temperatures above May's climatological average of 22–23°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data from authoritative stations, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on the measured peak. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from SBGR or INMET, such as sensor recalibrations, though model-observation consistency makes shifts improbable as final reports finalize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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