Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in Seoul's highest temperature at Incheon International Airport on April 16 amid an unseasonal mid-April heatwave, with recent daytime highs nearing 30°C driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting warm continental air. Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts point to partly cloudy conditions and highs around 23°C, aligning with ensemble model runs showing 22–24°C peaks, but variability in cloud cover and southerly winds could push maxima higher via enhanced insolation or lower via increased mixing. Historical April averages hover at 18°C, underscoring the anomaly, while evening updates may refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 16?
24°C or higher 28.4%
23°C 26%
22°C 19%
21°C 16%
新規
$11,963 Vol.
新規
$11,963 Vol.
2026/04/16
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
10%
21°C
16%
22°C
19%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
28%
24°C or higher 28.4%
23°C 26%
22°C 19%
21°C 16%
新規
$11,963 Vol.
新規
$11,963 Vol.
2026/04/16
14°C or below
$711 Vol.
1%
15°C
$511 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,629 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,301 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,303 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,398 Vol.
7%
20°C
$685 Vol.
10%
21°C
$617 Vol.
16%
22°C
$722 Vol.
19%
23°C
$828 Vol.
26%
24°C or higher
$1,512 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in Seoul's highest temperature at Incheon International Airport on April 16 amid an unseasonal mid-April heatwave, with recent daytime highs nearing 30°C driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting warm continental air. Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts point to partly cloudy conditions and highs around 23°C, aligning with ensemble model runs showing 22–24°C peaks, but variability in cloud cover and southerly winds could push maxima higher via enhanced insolation or lower via increased mixing. Historical April averages hover at 18°C, underscoring the anomaly, while evening updates may refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
音量
$11,963終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in Seoul's highest temperature at Incheon International Airport on April 16 amid an unseasonal mid-April heatwave, with recent daytime highs nearing 30°C driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting warm continental air. Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts point to partly cloudy conditions and highs around 23°C, aligning with ensemble model runs showing 22–24°C peaks, but variability in cloud cover and southerly winds could push maxima higher via enhanced insolation or lower via increased mixing. Historical April averages hover at 18°C, underscoring the anomaly, while evening updates may refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$11,963終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in Seoul's highest temperature at Incheon International Airport on April 16 amid an unseasonal mid-April heatwave, with recent daytime highs nearing 30°C driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting warm continental air. Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts point to partly cloudy conditions and highs around 23°C, aligning with ensemble model runs showing 22–24°C peaks, but variability in cloud cover and southerly winds could push maxima higher via enhanced insolation or lower via increased mixing. Historical April averages hover at 18°C, underscoring the anomaly, while evening updates may refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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