Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, driven by the persistence of an upper-level ridge over the Korean Peninsula fostering clear skies and solar heating, as evidenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) confirmation of a 27.3°C high on April 16—the warmest recent observation amid an erratic April with above-normal averages around 13–18°C. KMA medium-range forecasts for the capital region project daytime highs near 21–24°C on the 19th with low precipitation odds (20%), aligning clustered probabilities for 23°C (19%) and 22°C (16%), though model ensembles highlight uncertainty from potential cloud intrusions or wind shifts. Updated short-term KMA guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月19日のソウルの最高気温は？
4月19日のソウルの最高気温は？
24°C以上 45%
23℃ 19%
22°C 14%
21℃ 9%
新規
$16,527 Vol.
新規
$16,527 Vol.
2026/04/19
14℃以下
<1%
15°C
2%
16℃
2%
17℃
1%
18°C
3%
19℃
5%
20℃
6%
21℃
9%
22°C
14%
23℃
19%
24°C以上
45%
24°C以上 45%
23℃ 19%
22°C 14%
21℃ 9%
新規
$16,527 Vol.
新規
$16,527 Vol.
2026/04/19
14℃以下
$2,084 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$4,030 Vol.
2%
16℃
$2,543 Vol.
2%
17℃
$1,127 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,697 Vol.
3%
19℃
$1,180 Vol.
5%
20℃
$783 Vol.
6%
21℃
$622 Vol.
9%
22°C
$545 Vol.
14%
23℃
$561 Vol.
19%
24°C以上
$1,377 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, driven by the persistence of an upper-level ridge over the Korean Peninsula fostering clear skies and solar heating, as evidenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) confirmation of a 27.3°C high on April 16—the warmest recent observation amid an erratic April with above-normal averages around 13–18°C. KMA medium-range forecasts for the capital region project daytime highs near 21–24°C on the 19th with low precipitation odds (20%), aligning clustered probabilities for 23°C (19%) and 22°C (16%), though model ensembles highlight uncertainty from potential cloud intrusions or wind shifts. Updated short-term KMA guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$16,527終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, driven by the persistence of an upper-level ridge over the Korean Peninsula fostering clear skies and solar heating, as evidenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) confirmation of a 27.3°C high on April 16—the warmest recent observation amid an erratic April with above-normal averages around 13–18°C. KMA medium-range forecasts for the capital region project daytime highs near 21–24°C on the 19th with low precipitation odds (20%), aligning clustered probabilities for 23°C (19%) and 22°C (16%), though model ensembles highlight uncertainty from potential cloud intrusions or wind shifts. Updated short-term KMA guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$16,527終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 46% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 19, driven by the persistence of an upper-level ridge over the Korean Peninsula fostering clear skies and solar heating, as evidenced by the Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) confirmation of a 27.3°C high on April 16—the warmest recent observation amid an erratic April with above-normal averages around 13–18°C. KMA medium-range forecasts for the capital region project daytime highs near 21–24°C on the 19th with low precipitation odds (20%), aligning clustered probabilities for 23°C (19%) and 22°C (16%), though model ensembles highlight uncertainty from potential cloud intrusions or wind shifts. Updated short-term KMA guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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