Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached exactly 19°C on May 1, 2026, at the reference station, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible 0.1% odds for 20°C or higher. A persistent cool air mass over the Korean Peninsula suppressed diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies, with short-range forecast models precisely capturing hourly peaks of 16–19°C and no significant wind or insolation to push beyond. Evening readings at nearby Incheon International Airport fell to 14.4°C by 22:00 KST, solidifying the daily maximum well before midnight resolution. While May climatological averages exceed 22°C, this atypical synoptic pattern minimized upside risk; only an unprecedented data revision or unforecast late surge—both highly improbable—could challenge the positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5月1日のソウルの最高気温は？
5月1日のソウルの最高気温は？
19℃ 100.0%
10℃以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$337,155 Vol.
$337,155 Vol.
2026/05/01
10℃以下
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13℃
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C
いいえ
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19℃
はい
20℃以上
いいえ
19℃ 100.0%
10℃以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$337,155 Vol.
$337,155 Vol.
2026/05/01
10℃以下
$3,433 Vol.
いいえ
11°C
$745 Vol.
いいえ
12°C
$623 Vol.
いいえ
13℃
$1,815 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$5,825 Vol.
いいえ
15°C
$7,781 Vol.
いいえ
16°C
$24,008 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$77,125 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$85,319 Vol.
いいえ
19℃
$41,754 Vol.
はい
20℃以上
$88,727 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached exactly 19°C on May 1, 2026, at the reference station, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible 0.1% odds for 20°C or higher. A persistent cool air mass over the Korean Peninsula suppressed diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies, with short-range forecast models precisely capturing hourly peaks of 16–19°C and no significant wind or insolation to push beyond. Evening readings at nearby Incheon International Airport fell to 14.4°C by 22:00 KST, solidifying the daily maximum well before midnight resolution. While May climatological averages exceed 22°C, this atypical synoptic pattern minimized upside risk; only an unprecedented data revision or unforecast late surge—both highly improbable—could challenge the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$337,155終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached exactly 19°C on May 1, 2026, at the reference station, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible 0.1% odds for 20°C or higher. A persistent cool air mass over the Korean Peninsula suppressed diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies, with short-range forecast models precisely capturing hourly peaks of 16–19°C and no significant wind or insolation to push beyond. Evening readings at nearby Incheon International Airport fell to 14.4°C by 22:00 KST, solidifying the daily maximum well before midnight resolution. While May climatological averages exceed 22°C, this atypical synoptic pattern minimized upside risk; only an unprecedented data revision or unforecast late surge—both highly improbable—could challenge the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$337,155終了日
2026/05/01マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's highest temperature reached exactly 19°C on May 1, 2026, at the reference station, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible 0.1% odds for 20°C or higher. A persistent cool air mass over the Korean Peninsula suppressed diurnal heating under mostly cloudy skies, with short-range forecast models precisely capturing hourly peaks of 16–19°C and no significant wind or insolation to push beyond. Evening readings at nearby Incheon International Airport fell to 14.4°C by 22:00 KST, solidifying the daily maximum well before midnight resolution. While May climatological averages exceed 22°C, this atypical synoptic pattern minimized upside risk; only an unprecedented data revision or unforecast late surge—both highly improbable—could challenge the positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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