Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on June 5 point to a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the near-certain market consensus. Early June marks the onset of the Meiyu plum rain season, characterized by persistent cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps daytime highs near seasonal averages of 25–28°C. Model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant warming advection, aligning with verified observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon clearing intensifies or localized subsidence strengthens, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before final readings are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$154,805 Vol.
$154,805 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$154,805 Vol.
$154,805 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 3, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent official forecasts for Shanghai on June 5 point to a daily maximum of 26°C, driving the near-certain market consensus. Early June marks the onset of the Meiyu plum rain season, characterized by persistent cloud cover, higher humidity, and reduced solar radiation that typically caps daytime highs near seasonal averages of 25–28°C. Model runs show stable steering patterns and no significant warming advection, aligning with verified observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon clearing intensifies or localized subsidence strengthens, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before final readings are recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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