Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a peak temperature of 29°C reached mid-day on April 21, aligning with China Meteorological Administration hourly data and pre-event forecasts from models anticipating partly cloudy skies, persistent southerly sea breezes, and high humidity that capped further warming. This trader consensus reflects late-April climatology in Shenzhen, where daily highs average 27–28°C amid subtropical conditions transitioning toward summer. With sunset near 18:45 local time and temperatures now declining, exceeding 29°C would require an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst or measurement revision in final reports, scenarios deemed negligible by current meteorological evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 21?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 21?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$75,435 Vol.
$75,435 Vol.
2026/04/21
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$75,435 Vol.
$75,435 Vol.
2026/04/21
22°C or below
$903 Vol.
No
23°C
$766 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,300 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,962 Vol.
No
26°C
$12,199 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,420 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,205 Vol.
No
29°C
$18,432 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$14,937 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,458 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$4,852 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a peak temperature of 29°C reached mid-day on April 21, aligning with China Meteorological Administration hourly data and pre-event forecasts from models anticipating partly cloudy skies, persistent southerly sea breezes, and high humidity that capped further warming. This trader consensus reflects late-April climatology in Shenzhen, where daily highs average 27–28°C amid subtropical conditions transitioning toward summer. With sunset near 18:45 local time and temperatures now declining, exceeding 29°C would require an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst or measurement revision in final reports, scenarios deemed negligible by current meteorological evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 19, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
音量
$75,435終了日
2026/04/21マーケット開始日
Apr 19, 2026, 12:17 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a peak temperature of 29°C reached mid-day on April 21, aligning with China Meteorological Administration hourly data and pre-event forecasts from models anticipating partly cloudy skies, persistent southerly sea breezes, and high humidity that capped further warming. This trader consensus reflects late-April climatology in Shenzhen, where daily highs average 27–28°C amid subtropical conditions transitioning toward summer. With sunset near 18:45 local time and temperatures now declining, exceeding 29°C would require an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst or measurement revision in final reports, scenarios deemed negligible by current meteorological evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$75,435終了日
2026/04/21マーケット開始日
Apr 19, 2026, 12:17 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a peak temperature of 29°C reached mid-day on April 21, aligning with China Meteorological Administration hourly data and pre-event forecasts from models anticipating partly cloudy skies, persistent southerly sea breezes, and high humidity that capped further warming. This trader consensus reflects late-April climatology in Shenzhen, where daily highs average 27–28°C amid subtropical conditions transitioning toward summer. With sunset near 18:45 local time and temperatures now declining, exceeding 29°C would require an improbable late-afternoon clear-sky heat burst or measurement revision in final reports, scenarios deemed negligible by current meteorological evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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