Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport today, with 100% implied probability, driven by official METAR observations peaking at 28-29°C midday amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and aligned global models like ECMWF project a maximum of 29°C, consistent with late-April subtropical climatology where airport highs average 27°C but occasionally reach 29°C under moderate solar heating. Persistent cloud cover has suppressed further intensification, as seen in hourly data from 10:00-14:00 local time. As evening cooling sets in after sunset around 19:00, a late heat burst from clearing skies or minor measurement revision remains the only realistic challenge, though highly improbable given current trajectories and historical patterns. Updated CMA bulletins expected overnight will finalize observations for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 27?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,353 Vol.
$73,353 Vol.
2026/04/27
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,353 Vol.
$73,353 Vol.
2026/04/27
21°C or below
$1,881 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,146 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,585 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,136 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,489 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,418 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,811 Vol.
No
28°C
$14,361 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,626 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$11,653 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$8,244 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport today, with 100% implied probability, driven by official METAR observations peaking at 28-29°C midday amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and aligned global models like ECMWF project a maximum of 29°C, consistent with late-April subtropical climatology where airport highs average 27°C but occasionally reach 29°C under moderate solar heating. Persistent cloud cover has suppressed further intensification, as seen in hourly data from 10:00-14:00 local time. As evening cooling sets in after sunset around 19:00, a late heat burst from clearing skies or minor measurement revision remains the only realistic challenge, though highly improbable given current trajectories and historical patterns. Updated CMA bulletins expected overnight will finalize observations for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 25, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
音量
$73,353終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 25, 2026, 12:52 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport today, with 100% implied probability, driven by official METAR observations peaking at 28-29°C midday amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and aligned global models like ECMWF project a maximum of 29°C, consistent with late-April subtropical climatology where airport highs average 27°C but occasionally reach 29°C under moderate solar heating. Persistent cloud cover has suppressed further intensification, as seen in hourly data from 10:00-14:00 local time. As evening cooling sets in after sunset around 19:00, a late heat burst from clearing skies or minor measurement revision remains the only realistic challenge, though highly improbable given current trajectories and historical patterns. Updated CMA bulletins expected overnight will finalize observations for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$73,353終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 25, 2026, 12:52 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 29°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport today, with 100% implied probability, driven by official METAR observations peaking at 28-29°C midday amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and aligned global models like ECMWF project a maximum of 29°C, consistent with late-April subtropical climatology where airport highs average 27°C but occasionally reach 29°C under moderate solar heating. Persistent cloud cover has suppressed further intensification, as seen in hourly data from 10:00-14:00 local time. As evening cooling sets in after sunset around 19:00, a late heat burst from clearing skies or minor measurement revision remains the only realistic challenge, though highly improbable given current trajectories and historical patterns. Updated CMA bulletins expected overnight will finalize observations for market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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