Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 29?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 29?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$102,827 Vol.
$102,827 Vol.
2026/04/29
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$102,827 Vol.
$102,827 Vol.
2026/04/29
20°C or below
$1,061 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,616 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,409 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,743 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,544 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,834 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,099 Vol.
No
27°C
$34,056 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$20,360 Vol.
No
29°C
$22,611 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$8,493 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
音量
$102,827終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$102,827終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:15 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Shenzhen today, backed by converging forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, and AccuWeather models projecting a daytime peak of 26–27°C amid a rainstorm system over the Pearl River Delta. Persistent heavy showers, overcast skies, 65–90% relative humidity, and southeasterly winds at force 3 have limited solar insolation and diurnal heating at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport—the resolution station—aligning with April climatology averaging 26°C highs. Realistic challenges include improbable afternoon cloud breaks enabling urban heat island effects to nudge toward 28°C, though model uncertainty is minimal; final hourly observations post-midnight will confirm the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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