Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight persistent cloud cover, light showers, and elevated humidity in Shenzhen that are expected to suppress daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature at 27°C on June 9. These conditions align with typical early-June patterns in the region, where average highs reach 29–31°C but frequently moderate under overcast skies and precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects alignment across multiple model runs showing limited potential for stronger insolation or clearing skies. A sudden dissipation of cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 28–29°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 9?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$199,716 Vol.
$199,716 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$199,716 Vol.
$199,716 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight persistent cloud cover, light showers, and elevated humidity in Shenzhen that are expected to suppress daytime solar heating and cap the maximum temperature at 27°C on June 9. These conditions align with typical early-June patterns in the region, where average highs reach 29–31°C but frequently moderate under overcast skies and precipitation. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 27°C reflects alignment across multiple model runs showing limited potential for stronger insolation or clearing skies. A sudden dissipation of cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 28–29°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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