Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Singapore today, backed by verified observations from the Meteorological Service Singapore's Changi Airport climate station—the official reference for such metrics—where the daily maximum peaked at precisely 31°C amid persistent afternoon thundery showers. Early May's inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent convective activity and cloud cover, suppressed solar heating that could have driven intensities toward 33–35°C seen in recent April heatwaves, aligning with climatological norms of 31–32°C highs. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst exceeding the peak before evening cooling, though current satellite imagery and model outputs indicate diminishing instability. Final data release expected via MSS daily summary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Singapore on May 4?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$175,173 Vol.
$175,173 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$175,173 Vol.
$175,173 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Singapore today, backed by verified observations from the Meteorological Service Singapore's Changi Airport climate station—the official reference for such metrics—where the daily maximum peaked at precisely 31°C amid persistent afternoon thundery showers. Early May's inter-monsoon conditions, featuring frequent convective activity and cloud cover, suppressed solar heating that could have driven intensities toward 33–35°C seen in recent April heatwaves, aligning with climatological norms of 31–32°C highs. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-day heat burst exceeding the peak before evening cooling, though current satellite imagery and model outputs indicate diminishing instability. Final data release expected via MSS daily summary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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