Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$157,678 Vol.
$157,678 Vol.
2026/06/16
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33℃
いいえ
34°C
はい
35°C以上
いいえ
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$157,678 Vol.
$157,678 Vol.
2026/06/16
25°C or below
$3,048 Vol.
No
26°C
$15,018 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,593 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,065 Vol.
No
29°C
$14,133 Vol.
いいえ
30℃
$12,771 Vol.
いいえ
31℃
$14,587 Vol.
いいえ
32°C
$14,344 Vol.
いいえ
33℃
$18,177 Vol.
いいえ
34°C
$26,651 Vol.
はい
35°C以上
$17,292 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$157,678終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$157,678終了日
2026/06/16マーケット開始日
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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