Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative station for Tel Aviv temperature records, confirm a maximum of 27°C on May 9, 2026, based on verified hourly METAR reports between 00:00 and 23:59 Israel time, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms of around 26°C highs along Israel's coastal plain, moderated by persistent northerly sea breezes and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the finalized data, with negligible volume on higher bins. Realistic challenges are minimal, as only pre-finalization revisions could alter readings, per market rules; final data release solidifies resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 9?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,458 Vol.
$73,458 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$73,458 Vol.
$73,458 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official NOAA observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG), the authoritative station for Tel Aviv temperature records, confirm a maximum of 27°C on May 9, 2026, based on verified hourly METAR reports between 00:00 and 23:59 Israel time, driving the market-implied 100% probability for this outcome. This aligns with early May climatological norms of around 26°C highs along Israel's coastal plain, moderated by persistent northerly sea breezes and partly cloudy skies limiting solar heating. Trader consensus reflects skin-in-the-game confidence in the finalized data, with negligible volume on higher bins. Realistic challenges are minimal, as only pre-finalization revisions could alter readings, per market rules; final data release solidifies resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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