Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution station, projects a high near 20°C on April 18 amid cloudy conditions and 70% chance of showers, but trader consensus clusters around 17-19°C (implied probabilities 20.5-17.0%) due to model divergences—Weather Network ensembles lean cooler at 16°C with heavier rain (~10 mm)—reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover timing and diurnal heating. Recent observations show overnight lows at 11°C with showers tapering after yesterday's 18°C high, moderated by a weak low-pressure system and northerly winds. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 19-20°C outcomes versus persistent overcast capping at 17°C; watch this afternoon's updated GEM regional model runs for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 18?
18°C 29%
19°C 22%
17°C 20%
20°C 11%
$16,931 Vol.
$16,931 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
20%
18°C
29%
19°C
22%
20°C
11%
21°C or higher
4%
18°C 29%
19°C 22%
17°C 20%
20°C 11%
$16,931 Vol.
$16,931 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
20%
18°C
29%
19°C
22%
20°C
11%
21°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Environment Canada's latest forecast for Toronto Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution station, projects a high near 20°C on April 18 amid cloudy conditions and 70% chance of showers, but trader consensus clusters around 17-19°C (implied probabilities 20.5-17.0%) due to model divergences—Weather Network ensembles lean cooler at 16°C with heavier rain (~10 mm)—reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover timing and diurnal heating. Recent observations show overnight lows at 11°C with showers tapering after yesterday's 18°C high, moderated by a weak low-pressure system and northerly winds. Key differentiators include potential afternoon cloud breaks boosting 19-20°C outcomes versus persistent overcast capping at 17°C; watch this afternoon's updated GEM regional model runs for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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