Trader consensus has converged fully on a Toronto peak temperature of 30°C or higher on June 5, driven by confirmed observational data from official monitoring networks showing maximum readings that met or surpassed this threshold. Warm air advection under a building ridge of high pressure, combined with seasonal solar heating and low cloud cover, supported rapid daytime warming consistent with late-spring climatology for the region. Model guidance earlier in the week had pointed to upper-20s values, yet actual surface conditions exceeded expectations. This outcome aligns with broader 2026 warmth trends across southern Ontario. Only a significant measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain unlikely given multiple reporting sources.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on June 5?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$37,339 Vol.
$37,339 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$37,339 Vol.
$37,339 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has converged fully on a Toronto peak temperature of 30°C or higher on June 5, driven by confirmed observational data from official monitoring networks showing maximum readings that met or surpassed this threshold. Warm air advection under a building ridge of high pressure, combined with seasonal solar heating and low cloud cover, supported rapid daytime warming consistent with late-spring climatology for the region. Model guidance earlier in the week had pointed to upper-20s values, yet actual surface conditions exceeded expectations. This outcome aligns with broader 2026 warmth trends across southern Ontario. Only a significant measurement revision or station-specific anomaly could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain unlikely given multiple reporting sources.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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