**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月6日のトロントの最高気温は？
7月6日のトロントの最高気温は？
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$56,090 Vol.
$56,090 Vol.
2026/07/06
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$56,090 Vol.
$56,090 Vol.
2026/07/06
22°C or below
$2,067 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,875 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,043 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,592 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,949 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$5,359 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,197 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,945 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,195 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,051 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$2,817 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
音量
$56,090終了日
2026/07/06マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$56,090終了日
2026/07/06マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
**Current ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and global models place Toronto’s July 6 maximum in the 25–26 °C range**, keeping those two outcomes neck-and-neck at 26.5 % and 29 %. A modest upper-level ridge lingers but is offset by Lake Ontario’s cooling lake-breeze circulation, which typically caps downtown highs 1–2 °C below inland values when winds turn onshore by afternoon. Scattered cloud cover and a slight chance of showers could further suppress the peak by limiting insolation, while any earlier clearing or lighter winds would allow a quick climb to 27 °C. Historical early-July variability around the seasonal mean of ~26–28 °C adds to the tight spread; updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will determine whether the market tilts toward the lower or higher of the two leading buckets before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問