Latest IMGW forecasts and numerical weather prediction model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 17-19°C for Warsaw on April 19, driving trader consensus with 17°C (27.5%), 18°C (29.5%), and 19°C (24.5%) leading amid minimal spread two days out. This reflects a mild spring setup with weak southerly flow advecting warmer air, but large cloud cover and scattered rain risks—per IMGW's April 13-19 outlook—could cap peaks at 17°C by limiting solar insolation, while partial clearings might push to 19°C via enhanced diurnal heating. Observed highs of 14°C on April 17 align with above-climatological averages (mid-April ~14°C), though minor model divergences on frontal timing sustain uncertainty; watch 12z updates Saturday for refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 19?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 19?
17°C 29%
18°C 27%
19°C 24%
16°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
13%
17°C
29%
18°C
27%
19°C
24%
20°C
10%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 29%
18°C 27%
19°C 24%
16°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/19
11°C or below
$375 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$271 Vol.
1%
13°C
$240 Vol.
1%
14°C
$213 Vol.
2%
15°C
$156 Vol.
6%
16°C
$54 Vol.
13%
17°C
$11 Vol.
29%
18°C
$4 Vol.
27%
19°C
$43 Vol.
24%
20°C
$62 Vol.
10%
21°C or higher
$18 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest IMGW forecasts and numerical weather prediction model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 17-19°C for Warsaw on April 19, driving trader consensus with 17°C (27.5%), 18°C (29.5%), and 19°C (24.5%) leading amid minimal spread two days out. This reflects a mild spring setup with weak southerly flow advecting warmer air, but large cloud cover and scattered rain risks—per IMGW's April 13-19 outlook—could cap peaks at 17°C by limiting solar insolation, while partial clearings might push to 19°C via enhanced diurnal heating. Observed highs of 14°C on April 17 align with above-climatological averages (mid-April ~14°C), though minor model divergences on frontal timing sustain uncertainty; watch 12z updates Saturday for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
音量
$1,448終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest IMGW forecasts and numerical weather prediction model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 17-19°C for Warsaw on April 19, driving trader consensus with 17°C (27.5%), 18°C (29.5%), and 19°C (24.5%) leading amid minimal spread two days out. This reflects a mild spring setup with weak southerly flow advecting warmer air, but large cloud cover and scattered rain risks—per IMGW's April 13-19 outlook—could cap peaks at 17°C by limiting solar insolation, while partial clearings might push to 19°C via enhanced diurnal heating. Observed highs of 14°C on April 17 align with above-climatological averages (mid-April ~14°C), though minor model divergences on frontal timing sustain uncertainty; watch 12z updates Saturday for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,448終了日
2026/04/19マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ETLatest IMGW forecasts and numerical weather prediction model ensembles, including ECMWF and GFS, show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 17-19°C for Warsaw on April 19, driving trader consensus with 17°C (27.5%), 18°C (29.5%), and 19°C (24.5%) leading amid minimal spread two days out. This reflects a mild spring setup with weak southerly flow advecting warmer air, but large cloud cover and scattered rain risks—per IMGW's April 13-19 outlook—could cap peaks at 17°C by limiting solar insolation, while partial clearings might push to 19°C via enhanced diurnal heating. Observed highs of 14°C on April 17 align with above-climatological averages (mid-April ~14°C), though minor model divergences on frontal timing sustain uncertainty; watch 12z updates Saturday for refinements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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