Official measurements from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. Persistent northerly airflow advected cool continental polar air across central Europe, suppressing highs under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, as precisely forecasted by ECMWF ensemble models and IMGW guidance in the preceding 24-48 hours. This aligns with April climatological norms of 12-14°C daytime maxima in Warsaw. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable post hoc revisions from station data audits or sensor recalibrations, with resolution imminent based on verified observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 27?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 27?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$62,372 Vol.
$62,372 Vol.
2026/04/27
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$62,372 Vol.
$62,372 Vol.
2026/04/27
8°C or below
$1,588 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,492 Vol.
No
10°C
$1,485 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,119 Vol.
No
12°C
$14,444 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,429 Vol.
No
14°C
$11,463 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$7,999 Vol.
No
16°C
$6,725 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,839 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$2,789 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. Persistent northerly airflow advected cool continental polar air across central Europe, suppressing highs under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, as precisely forecasted by ECMWF ensemble models and IMGW guidance in the preceding 24-48 hours. This aligns with April climatological norms of 12-14°C daytime maxima in Warsaw. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable post hoc revisions from station data audits or sensor recalibrations, with resolution imminent based on verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 25, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
音量
$62,372終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 25, 2026, 12:23 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. Persistent northerly airflow advected cool continental polar air across central Europe, suppressing highs under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, as precisely forecasted by ECMWF ensemble models and IMGW guidance in the preceding 24-48 hours. This aligns with April climatological norms of 12-14°C daytime maxima in Warsaw. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable post hoc revisions from station data audits or sensor recalibrations, with resolution imminent based on verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$62,372終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 25, 2026, 12:23 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official measurements from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 27 reached exactly 14°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome and near-certainty among traders wagering real capital. Persistent northerly airflow advected cool continental polar air across central Europe, suppressing highs under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, as precisely forecasted by ECMWF ensemble models and IMGW guidance in the preceding 24-48 hours. This aligns with April climatological norms of 12-14°C daytime maxima in Warsaw. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable post hoc revisions from station data audits or sensor recalibrations, with resolution imminent based on verified observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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