Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日7月3日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
7月3日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
23°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$65,532 Vol.
$65,532 Vol.
2026/07/03
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$65,532 Vol.
$65,532 Vol.
2026/07/03
20°C or below
$4,007 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,700 Vol.
No
22°C
$15,515 Vol.
No
23°C
$13,982 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$9,003 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,185 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,641 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,457 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,618 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,130 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$1,294 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$65,532終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$65,532終了日
2026/07/03マーケット開始日
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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