Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 15°C at Wellington International Airport on April 30, 2026, backed by official MetService observations and Weather Underground archives confirming the daily maximum peaked at exactly 15°C. This aligns precisely with MetService's pre-dawn forecast projecting a 15°C high amid a cool southerly airflow replacing yesterday's warmer northwesterlies, which had pushed temperatures to 17°C; mainly fine skies and a chilly 6°C overnight low further capped daytime warming potential. April climatology typically sees Wellington highs near 17°C, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and light winds limited solar heating. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-finalization data revision uncovering an overlooked peak, though MetService verification processes make this improbable as the day concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 30?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 30?
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$145,439 Vol.
$145,439 Vol.
2026/04/30
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$145,439 Vol.
$145,439 Vol.
2026/04/30
8°C or below
$1,774 Vol.
No
9°C
$980 Vol.
No
10°C
$11,259 Vol.
No
11°C
$770 Vol.
No
12°C
$2,018 Vol.
No
13°C
$22,631 Vol.
No
14°C
$28,766 Vol.
No
15°C
$37,160 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$20,534 Vol.
No
17°C
$10,168 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$9,379 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 15°C at Wellington International Airport on April 30, 2026, backed by official MetService observations and Weather Underground archives confirming the daily maximum peaked at exactly 15°C. This aligns precisely with MetService's pre-dawn forecast projecting a 15°C high amid a cool southerly airflow replacing yesterday's warmer northwesterlies, which had pushed temperatures to 17°C; mainly fine skies and a chilly 6°C overnight low further capped daytime warming potential. April climatology typically sees Wellington highs near 17°C, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and light winds limited solar heating. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-finalization data revision uncovering an overlooked peak, though MetService verification processes make this improbable as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 28, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
音量
$145,439終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:21 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 15°C at Wellington International Airport on April 30, 2026, backed by official MetService observations and Weather Underground archives confirming the daily maximum peaked at exactly 15°C. This aligns precisely with MetService's pre-dawn forecast projecting a 15°C high amid a cool southerly airflow replacing yesterday's warmer northwesterlies, which had pushed temperatures to 17°C; mainly fine skies and a chilly 6°C overnight low further capped daytime warming potential. April climatology typically sees Wellington highs near 17°C, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and light winds limited solar heating. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-finalization data revision uncovering an overlooked peak, though MetService verification processes make this improbable as the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$145,439終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 28, 2026, 2:21 PM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 15°C at Wellington International Airport on April 30, 2026, backed by official MetService observations and Weather Underground archives confirming the daily maximum peaked at exactly 15°C. This aligns precisely with MetService's pre-dawn forecast projecting a 15°C high amid a cool southerly airflow replacing yesterday's warmer northwesterlies, which had pushed temperatures to 17°C; mainly fine skies and a chilly 6°C overnight low further capped daytime warming potential. April climatology typically sees Wellington highs near 17°C, but today's stable high-pressure ridge and light winds limited solar heating. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-finalization data revision uncovering an overlooked peak, though MetService verification processes make this improbable as the day concludes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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