Current forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and regional models indicate a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on June 13, 2026, driven by northerly flow advecting milder air over the region during early austral winter. This aligns with the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around 14–15°C highs, against a June climatological baseline near 13°C with typical ranges of 11–16°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 15°C reflects strong model agreement and ongoing observations showing no rapid cooling or frontal passage that would alter the peak. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day shift in steering patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though current data convergence makes such revisions improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on June 13?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$91,921 Vol.
$91,921 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$91,921 Vol.
$91,921 Vol.
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from agencies such as the Met Office and regional models indicate a daily maximum of 15°C in Wellington on June 13, 2026, driven by northerly flow advecting milder air over the region during early austral winter. This aligns with the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around 14–15°C highs, against a June climatological baseline near 13°C with typical ranges of 11–16°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 15°C reflects strong model agreement and ongoing observations showing no rapid cooling or frontal passage that would alter the peak. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day shift in steering patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though current data convergence makes such revisions improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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