Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月26日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
6月26日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$173,811 Vol.
$173,811 Vol.
2026/06/26
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$173,811 Vol.
$173,811 Vol.
2026/06/26
5°C or below
$31,253 Vol.
No
6°C
$10,696 Vol.
No
7°C
$2,737 Vol.
No
8°C
$13,339 Vol.
No
9°C
$9,320 Vol.
No
10°C
$50,732 Vol.
No
11°C
$22,108 Vol.
Yes
12°C
$11,562 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,765 Vol.
No
14°C
$7,310 Vol.
No
15°C or higher
$6,988 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$173,811終了日
2026/06/26マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$173,811終了日
2026/06/26マーケット開始日
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies highlight a strengthening southerly flow and persistent rain over Wellington on June 26, 2026, favoring daily maxima near 10–12 °C amid cloud cover and onshore winds that limit daytime warming. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average June temperatures for the region, consistent with typical winter conditions where southerly airstreams advect cooler maritime air while frontal systems and orographic lift enhance precipitation. Model consensus points to modest variability around these values, with the precise maximum hinging on the timing and intensity of the southerly change and any breaks in cloud that could allow brief radiative heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 11–12 °C because these align closely with ensemble guidance, while higher or lower outcomes remain less likely absent significant forecast shifts in the final model runs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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