President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party maintains a supermajority in South Korea’s National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds vote the opposition cannot achieve without widespread defections from ruling-party ranks. This control, reinforced by the party’s victories in the June 2026 local elections and the absence of scandals sufficient to fracture internal cohesion, has kept formal motions without traction through mid-2026. A citizen petition calling for removal gathered signatures but produced no legislative follow-through. Although approval ratings have declined from the mid-60s to the low-to-mid 40s amid debates over property taxes and prosecutorial reforms, these levels remain consistent with historical precedents for sustained presidential tenure absent a major catalyst capable of shifting Assembly dynamics before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
8% 確率
$20,407 Vol.
$20,407 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
8% 確率
$20,407 Vol.
$20,407 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party maintains a supermajority in South Korea’s National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds vote the opposition cannot achieve without widespread defections from ruling-party ranks. This control, reinforced by the party’s victories in the June 2026 local elections and the absence of scandals sufficient to fracture internal cohesion, has kept formal motions without traction through mid-2026. A citizen petition calling for removal gathered signatures but produced no legislative follow-through. Although approval ratings have declined from the mid-60s to the low-to-mid 40s amid debates over property taxes and prosecutorial reforms, these levels remain consistent with historical precedents for sustained presidential tenure absent a major catalyst capable of shifting Assembly dynamics before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
音量
$20,407終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party maintains a supermajority in South Korea’s National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds vote the opposition cannot achieve without widespread defections from ruling-party ranks. This control, reinforced by the party’s victories in the June 2026 local elections and the absence of scandals sufficient to fracture internal cohesion, has kept formal motions without traction through mid-2026. A citizen petition calling for removal gathered signatures but produced no legislative follow-through. Although approval ratings have declined from the mid-60s to the low-to-mid 40s amid debates over property taxes and prosecutorial reforms, these levels remain consistent with historical precedents for sustained presidential tenure absent a major catalyst capable of shifting Assembly dynamics before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
音量
$20,407終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party maintains a supermajority in South Korea’s National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment that requires a two-thirds vote the opposition cannot achieve without widespread defections from ruling-party ranks. This control, reinforced by the party’s victories in the June 2026 local elections and the absence of scandals sufficient to fracture internal cohesion, has kept formal motions without traction through mid-2026. A citizen petition calling for removal gathered signatures but produced no legislative follow-through. Although approval ratings have declined from the mid-60s to the low-to-mid 40s amid debates over property taxes and prosecutorial reforms, these levels remain consistent with historical precedents for sustained presidential tenure absent a major catalyst capable of shifting Assembly dynamics before 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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