South Korea’s central bank and finance ministry have anchored 2026 inflation expectations at 2.7 percent and 2.6 percent, respectively, after upward revisions driven by persistent oil-price spillovers, a weaker won, and robust semiconductor exports that eased growth concerns. The Bank of Korea’s July 2026 decision to hike the base rate 25 basis points to 2.75 percent—the first tightening since 2023—reinforced this outlook by prioritizing price stability above the 2 percent target. July consumer prices cooled to 2.8 percent year-over-year from 3.2 percent in June, yet the path remains sensitive to exchange-rate volatility and wage pressures. These developments concentrate trader-implied odds on the 2.7–2.9 percent band at 53 percent, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus around official projections while leaving room for modest downside if demand softens.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.7%から2.9% 53.2%
2.4%から2.6% 30.4%
2.1%〜2.3% 6.5%
3.0%以上 5.1%
$28,769 Vol.
$28,769 Vol.
1.5%未満
1%
1.5%から1.7%
3%
1.8%から2.0%
4%
2.1%〜2.3%
7%
2.4%から2.6%
30%
2.7%から2.9%
53%
3.0%以上
5%
2.7%から2.9% 53.2%
2.4%から2.6% 30.4%
2.1%〜2.3% 6.5%
3.0%以上 5.1%
$28,769 Vol.
$28,769 Vol.
1.5%未満
1%
1.5%から1.7%
3%
1.8%から2.0%
4%
2.1%〜2.3%
7%
2.4%から2.6%
30%
2.7%から2.9%
53%
3.0%以上
5%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
マーケット開始日: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s central bank and finance ministry have anchored 2026 inflation expectations at 2.7 percent and 2.6 percent, respectively, after upward revisions driven by persistent oil-price spillovers, a weaker won, and robust semiconductor exports that eased growth concerns. The Bank of Korea’s July 2026 decision to hike the base rate 25 basis points to 2.75 percent—the first tightening since 2023—reinforced this outlook by prioritizing price stability above the 2 percent target. July consumer prices cooled to 2.8 percent year-over-year from 3.2 percent in June, yet the path remains sensitive to exchange-rate volatility and wage pressures. These developments concentrate trader-implied odds on the 2.7–2.9 percent band at 53 percent, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus around official projections while leaving room for modest downside if demand softens.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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