Recent August CPI data showing a 3.1% year-over-year rise, with core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, has anchored trader expectations for South Korea’s full-year 2026 average near or above 3%, reinforced by elevated oil prices, a weak won, and recovering domestic demand. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3.0% in July and August, plus its upward revision of 2026 GDP growth to 3.3%, underscore sustained price pressures that exceed the 2% target, while fiscal measures have only partially offset energy pass-through. Market-implied odds favor the 2.7–3.0%+ brackets because incoming monthly prints and BOK communications continue to signal sticky underlying inflation rather than rapid moderation. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and the next Monetary Policy Board meeting, where further tightening could influence the remaining trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日3.0%以上 39.0%
2.7%から2.9% 29.7%
2.1%〜2.3% 9.8%
2.4%から2.6% 9.5%
$43,323 Vol.
$43,323 Vol.
1.5%未満
6%
1.5%から1.7%
1%
1.8%から2.0%
3%
2.1%〜2.3%
10%
2.4%から2.6%
6%
2.7%から2.9%
30%
3.0%以上
43%
3.0%以上 39.0%
2.7%から2.9% 29.7%
2.1%〜2.3% 9.8%
2.4%から2.6% 9.5%
$43,323 Vol.
$43,323 Vol.
1.5%未満
6%
1.5%から1.7%
1%
1.8%から2.0%
3%
2.1%〜2.3%
10%
2.4%から2.6%
6%
2.7%から2.9%
30%
3.0%以上
43%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
マーケット開始日: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Recent August CPI data showing a 3.1% year-over-year rise, with core inflation accelerating to 3.4%, has anchored trader expectations for South Korea’s full-year 2026 average near or above 3%, reinforced by elevated oil prices, a weak won, and recovering domestic demand. The Bank of Korea’s back-to-back rate hikes to 3.0% in July and August, plus its upward revision of 2026 GDP growth to 3.3%, underscore sustained price pressures that exceed the 2% target, while fiscal measures have only partially offset energy pass-through. Market-implied odds favor the 2.7–3.0%+ brackets because incoming monthly prints and BOK communications continue to signal sticky underlying inflation rather than rapid moderation. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and the next Monetary Policy Board meeting, where further tightening could influence the remaining trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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