Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, represent the dominant driver behind elevated ground beef prices. Retail averages reached $6.90 per pound in April 2026 amid USDA forecasts for 6.9% wholesale beef price gains and overall beef inflation of 10% or more this year. Limited domestic production—projected down roughly 1-2%—combined with robust consumer demand and heavier reliance on lean-trim imports continues to support values, though affordability pressures may temper gains in the second half. The cattle cycle points to minimal herd expansion before 2027-2028, keeping volatility elevated ahead of summer grilling demand and any shifts in import or feed-cost dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,258 Vol.
7.000ドル以上
76%
8.000ドル以上
59%
$9.000以上
52%
10.000ドル以上
26%
$19,258 Vol.
7.000ドル以上
76%
8.000ドル以上
59%
$9.000以上
52%
10.000ドル以上
26%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle supplies, with the national herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026, represent the dominant driver behind elevated ground beef prices. Retail averages reached $6.90 per pound in April 2026 amid USDA forecasts for 6.9% wholesale beef price gains and overall beef inflation of 10% or more this year. Limited domestic production—projected down roughly 1-2%—combined with robust consumer demand and heavier reliance on lean-trim imports continues to support values, though affordability pressures may temper gains in the second half. The cattle cycle points to minimal herd expansion before 2027-2028, keeping volatility elevated ahead of summer grilling demand and any shifts in import or feed-cost dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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