Recent July 2026 CPI data showed Mexico's annual inflation easing to 3.12% from 3.37% in June—the lowest since 2020—driven by subdued non-core components and core inflation declining to around 3.95%. This trajectory aligns with Banxico's 3% ±1% target band and supports market-implied odds favoring the 3.50-3.99% range for full-year 2026 at 47.1%, ahead of the 4.00-4.49% bucket. Analysts project calendar-year averages near 3.9%, with downward revisions to near-term forecasts tempered by persistent core pressures and upside risks from peso volatility or external shocks. Banxico's August hold at 6.50% underscores a cautious stance, as convergence to target is now eyed for Q4 2027 amid stable longer-term expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日3.50%〜3.99% 47.2%
4.00%〜4.49% 29%
4.50%~4.99% 8%
3.00%〜3.49% 7.3%
$63,934 Vol.
$63,934 Vol.
2.50%未満
1%
2.50%から2.99%
5%
3.00%〜3.49%
7%
3.50%〜3.99%
47%
4.00%〜4.49%
29%
4.50%~4.99%
8%
5.00%から5.49%
4%
5.50%以上
3%
3.50%〜3.99% 47.2%
4.00%〜4.49% 29%
4.50%~4.99% 8%
3.00%〜3.49% 7.3%
$63,934 Vol.
$63,934 Vol.
2.50%未満
1%
2.50%から2.99%
5%
3.00%〜3.49%
7%
3.50%〜3.99%
47%
4.00%〜4.49%
29%
4.50%~4.99%
8%
5.00%から5.49%
4%
5.50%以上
3%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
マーケット開始日: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 CPI data showed Mexico's annual inflation easing to 3.12% from 3.37% in June—the lowest since 2020—driven by subdued non-core components and core inflation declining to around 3.95%. This trajectory aligns with Banxico's 3% ±1% target band and supports market-implied odds favoring the 3.50-3.99% range for full-year 2026 at 47.1%, ahead of the 4.00-4.49% bucket. Analysts project calendar-year averages near 3.9%, with downward revisions to near-term forecasts tempered by persistent core pressures and upside risks from peso volatility or external shocks. Banxico's August hold at 6.50% underscores a cautious stance, as convergence to target is now eyed for Q4 2027 amid stable longer-term expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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