South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Center while serving a life sentence for insurrection over his 2024 martial law declaration, a verdict delivered in February 2026. Multiple additional convictions, including a seven-year term upheld by the Supreme Court in July 2026 and a separate 30-year sentence, have extended his custody as appeals proceed through higher courts. South Korean legal processes for high-profile political cases typically involve lengthy reviews without routine bail or early release, and no recent rulings or procedural shifts have altered this trajectory. Traders assign a 90% implied probability to “No” on release before 2027, consistent with the extended timeline of ongoing litigation and final sentencing enforcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$149,639 Vol.
$149,639 Vol.
はい
$149,639 Vol.
$149,639 Vol.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former president Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Center while serving a life sentence for insurrection over his 2024 martial law declaration, a verdict delivered in February 2026. Multiple additional convictions, including a seven-year term upheld by the Supreme Court in July 2026 and a separate 30-year sentence, have extended his custody as appeals proceed through higher courts. South Korean legal processes for high-profile political cases typically involve lengthy reviews without routine bail or early release, and no recent rulings or procedural shifts have altered this trajectory. Traders assign a 90% implied probability to “No” on release before 2027, consistent with the extended timeline of ongoing litigation and final sentencing enforcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問