Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions including a 30-year term in a related drone case earlier that year. Multiple ongoing trials on charges such as abuse of power and aiding the enemy have produced cumulative prison terms that exceed any realistic timeline for appeals to result in release before the end of 2026. South Korean judicial procedures for high-profile cases involving former presidents typically involve extended review periods, and no recent court rulings or executive actions have altered his detention status. This sustained legal posture underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.9% probability for "No," as the combination of confirmed verdicts and procedural timelines makes early release improbable absent extraordinary developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
$178,521 Vol.
$178,521 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
7% 確率
$178,521 Vol.
$178,521 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions including a 30-year term in a related drone case earlier that year. Multiple ongoing trials on charges such as abuse of power and aiding the enemy have produced cumulative prison terms that exceed any realistic timeline for appeals to result in release before the end of 2026. South Korean judicial procedures for high-profile cases involving former presidents typically involve extended review periods, and no recent court rulings or executive actions have altered his detention status. This sustained legal posture underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.9% probability for "No," as the combination of confirmed verdicts and procedural timelines makes early release improbable absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
音量
$178,521終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions including a 30-year term in a related drone case earlier that year. Multiple ongoing trials on charges such as abuse of power and aiding the enemy have produced cumulative prison terms that exceed any realistic timeline for appeals to result in release before the end of 2026. South Korean judicial procedures for high-profile cases involving former presidents typically involve extended review periods, and no recent court rulings or executive actions have altered his detention status. This sustained legal posture underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.9% probability for "No," as the combination of confirmed verdicts and procedural timelines makes early release improbable absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$178,521終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with additional convictions including a 30-year term in a related drone case earlier that year. Multiple ongoing trials on charges such as abuse of power and aiding the enemy have produced cumulative prison terms that exceed any realistic timeline for appeals to result in release before the end of 2026. South Korean judicial procedures for high-profile cases involving former presidents typically involve extended review periods, and no recent court rulings or executive actions have altered his detention status. This sustained legal posture underpins trader consensus reflected in the 92.9% probability for "No," as the combination of confirmed verdicts and procedural timelines makes early release improbable absent extraordinary developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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