Ongoing military conflict and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s repeated calls to topple Iran’s regime drive the 96.5% “No” probability for a Netanyahu-Pezeshkian meeting by September 30. Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, Iranian retaliation, and naval pressure in the Strait of Hormuz have kept bilateral ties adversarial, with Netanyahu emphasizing that “no one is immune” in recent public remarks. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s travel to the UN General Assembly has produced meetings with other leaders but no signals of direct engagement with Israel. A sudden ceasefire announcement or backchannel breakthrough at the UN could theoretically shift odds, though current diplomatic and military trajectories show no such movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
はい
4% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military conflict and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s repeated calls to topple Iran’s regime drive the 96.5% “No” probability for a Netanyahu-Pezeshkian meeting by September 30. Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, Iranian retaliation, and naval pressure in the Strait of Hormuz have kept bilateral ties adversarial, with Netanyahu emphasizing that “no one is immune” in recent public remarks. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s travel to the UN General Assembly has produced meetings with other leaders but no signals of direct engagement with Israel. A sudden ceasefire announcement or backchannel breakthrough at the UN could theoretically shift odds, though current diplomatic and military trajectories show no such movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2026, 10:53 AM ET
音量
$891終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 10:53 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing military conflict and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s repeated calls to topple Iran’s regime drive the 96.5% “No” probability for a Netanyahu-Pezeshkian meeting by September 30. Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, Iranian retaliation, and naval pressure in the Strait of Hormuz have kept bilateral ties adversarial, with Netanyahu emphasizing that “no one is immune” in recent public remarks. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s travel to the UN General Assembly has produced meetings with other leaders but no signals of direct engagement with Israel. A sudden ceasefire announcement or backchannel breakthrough at the UN could theoretically shift odds, though current diplomatic and military trajectories show no such movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu meets with Masoud Pezeshkian between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Netanyahu and Pezeshkian are present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
The meeting must have occurred and must be confirmed to have occurred within the specified timeframe. A meeting that occurs after the specified date, or that is not confirmed until after the specified date, will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$891終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2026, 10:53 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military conflict and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s repeated calls to topple Iran’s regime drive the 96.5% “No” probability for a Netanyahu-Pezeshkian meeting by September 30. Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, Iranian retaliation, and naval pressure in the Strait of Hormuz have kept bilateral ties adversarial, with Netanyahu emphasizing that “no one is immune” in recent public remarks. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s travel to the UN General Assembly has produced meetings with other leaders but no signals of direct engagement with Israel. A sudden ceasefire announcement or backchannel breakthrough at the UN could theoretically shift odds, though current diplomatic and military trajectories show no such movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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