Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月22日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
4月22日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
46～47°F 100.0%
華氏37度以下 <1%
38～39°F <1%
40〜41°F <1%
$95,167 Vol.
$95,167 Vol.
2026/04/22
華氏37度以下
いいえ
38～39°F
いいえ
40〜41°F
いいえ
42～43°F
いいえ
44～45°F
いいえ
46～47°F
はい
48〜49°F
いいえ
50〜51°F
いいえ
52～53°F
いいえ
54～55°F
いいえ
56°F以上
いいえ
46～47°F 100.0%
華氏37度以下 <1%
38～39°F <1%
40〜41°F <1%
$95,167 Vol.
$95,167 Vol.
2026/04/22
華氏37度以下
$1,694 Vol.
いいえ
38～39°F
$10,470 Vol.
いいえ
40〜41°F
$2,260 Vol.
いいえ
42～43°F
$4,946 Vol.
いいえ
44～45°F
$8,762 Vol.
いいえ
46～47°F
$14,971 Vol.
はい
48〜49°F
$5,446 Vol.
いいえ
50〜51°F
$8,646 Vol.
いいえ
52～53°F
$23,490 Vol.
いいえ
54～55°F
$6,393 Vol.
いいえ
56°F以上
$8,088 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
音量
$95,167終了日
2026/04/22マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$95,167終了日
2026/04/22マーケット開始日
Apr 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a lowest temperature of 46-47°F in New York City on April 22, driven by official Weather Underground records from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), which measured a verified low of 46°F at 12:51 a.m. amid cloudy skies and light rain that inhibited radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with National Weather Service observations and pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, anticipating mild spring conditions with minimal cold air advection. Historical April lows at KLGA average around 47°F, supporting the positioning. Realistic challenges would require a rare data quality revision, such as sensor calibration issues flagged in final quality-controlled summaries, though initial automated surface observations rarely change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問