The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$42,921 Vol.
$42,921 Vol.
2026/04/27
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
No
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$42,921 Vol.
$42,921 Vol.
2026/04/27
37°F or below
$13,018 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$1,575 Vol.
No
40-41°F
$1,587 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$1,884 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$2,681 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$2,295 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$4,806 Vol.
Yes
50-51°F
$1,359 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$712 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,088 Vol.
No
56°F or higher
$11,916 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$42,921終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$42,921終了日
2026/04/27マーケット開始日
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問