Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月29日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
4月29日のニューヨーク市の最低気温は？
50～51°F 100.0%
41°F以下 <1%
42～43°F <1%
44～45°F <1%
$19,807 Vol.
$19,807 Vol.
2026/04/29
41°F以下
いいえ
42～43°F
いいえ
44～45°F
いいえ
46～47°F
いいえ
48〜49°F
いいえ
50～51°F
はい
52～53°F
いいえ
54～55°F
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58〜59°F
いいえ
華氏60度以上
いいえ
50～51°F 100.0%
41°F以下 <1%
42～43°F <1%
44～45°F <1%
$19,807 Vol.
$19,807 Vol.
2026/04/29
41°F以下
$3,206 Vol.
いいえ
42～43°F
$1,944 Vol.
いいえ
44～45°F
$963 Vol.
いいえ
46～47°F
$1,073 Vol.
いいえ
48〜49°F
$1,956 Vol.
いいえ
50～51°F
$4,661 Vol.
はい
52～53°F
$1,611 Vol.
いいえ
54～55°F
$482 Vol.
いいえ
56〜57°F
$1,148 Vol.
いいえ
58〜59°F
$1,341 Vol.
いいえ
華氏60度以上
$1,421 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$19,807終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$19,807終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 50-51°F low temperature in New York City on April 29, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA)—the market's designated resolution station—archived via Weather Underground, confirming the daily minimum fell squarely in this range. This outcome exceeded pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA, which anticipated upper-40s lows amid cloudy conditions and light winds, but persistent overcast skies and urban heat island effects around the airport prevented deeper cooling overnight. Realistic challenges are minimal post-validation, though a rare data correction or archival discrepancy could theoretically prompt review; final NWS climatological summaries, typically released within 24 hours, solidify this positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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