Trader sentiment for the June 19 NYC low temperature market reflects broad model consensus around typical mid-June overnight conditions, with leading bins (68–75°F) capturing nearly 60% of implied probability due to limited spread in current guidance. Primary drivers include a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling overnight, alongside dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s that limit further drops. Ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds that separate the 68–69°F, 70–71°F, and 74–75°F outcomes, while historical climatology (average June minimum near 67°F) anchors expectations. With resolution approaching, any late model shift in cloud cover or marine influence could quickly reprice the tightly clustered probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月19日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
6月19日のニューヨークの最低気温は？
70〜71°F 100.0%
61°F以下 <1%
62〜63°F <1%
64〜65°F <1%
$23,838 Vol.
$23,838 Vol.
2026/06/19
61°F以下
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
いいえ
66～67°F
いいえ
68〜69°F
いいえ
70〜71°F
はい
72～73°F
いいえ
74～75°F
いいえ
76〜77°F
いいえ
78〜79°F
いいえ
80°F以上
いいえ
70〜71°F 100.0%
61°F以下 <1%
62〜63°F <1%
64〜65°F <1%
$23,838 Vol.
$23,838 Vol.
2026/06/19
61°F以下
$287 Vol.
いいえ
62〜63°F
$1,207 Vol.
いいえ
64〜65°F
$1,932 Vol.
いいえ
66～67°F
$1,674 Vol.
いいえ
68〜69°F
$2,012 Vol.
いいえ
70〜71°F
$5,357 Vol.
はい
72～73°F
$4,163 Vol.
いいえ
74～75°F
$1,330 Vol.
いいえ
76〜77°F
$2,481 Vol.
いいえ
78〜79°F
$2,766 Vol.
いいえ
80°F以上
$630 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the June 19 NYC low temperature market reflects broad model consensus around typical mid-June overnight conditions, with leading bins (68–75°F) capturing nearly 60% of implied probability due to limited spread in current guidance. Primary drivers include a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling overnight, alongside dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s that limit further drops. Ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds that separate the 68–69°F, 70–71°F, and 74–75°F outcomes, while historical climatology (average June minimum near 67°F) anchors expectations. With resolution approaching, any late model shift in cloud cover or marine influence could quickly reprice the tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jun 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
音量
$23,838終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the June 19 NYC low temperature market reflects broad model consensus around typical mid-June overnight conditions, with leading bins (68–75°F) capturing nearly 60% of implied probability due to limited spread in current guidance. Primary drivers include a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling overnight, alongside dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s that limit further drops. Ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds that separate the 68–69°F, 70–71°F, and 74–75°F outcomes, while historical climatology (average June minimum near 67°F) anchors expectations. With resolution approaching, any late model shift in cloud cover or marine influence could quickly reprice the tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$23,838終了日
2026/06/19マーケット開始日
Jun 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader sentiment for the June 19 NYC low temperature market reflects broad model consensus around typical mid-June overnight conditions, with leading bins (68–75°F) capturing nearly 60% of implied probability due to limited spread in current guidance. Primary drivers include a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling overnight, alongside dew points in the upper 50s to low 60s that limit further drops. Ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service show subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds that separate the 68–69°F, 70–71°F, and 74–75°F outcomes, while historical climatology (average June minimum near 67°F) anchors expectations. With resolution approaching, any late model shift in cloud cover or marine influence could quickly reprice the tightly clustered probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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