Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in NYC on June 2?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 2?
54-55°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$33,691 Vol.
$33,691 Vol.
2026/06/02
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$33,691 Vol.
$33,691 Vol.
2026/06/02
45°F or below
$1,098 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,087 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,158 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,747 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$2,382 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$9,625 Vol.
Yes
56-57°F
$3,275 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$6,133 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$4,803 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,923 Vol.
No
64°F or higher
$459 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
音量
$33,691終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$33,691終了日
2026/06/02マーケット開始日
May 31, 2026, 12:35 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on the 54–55°F outcome reflects National Weather Service observations confirming a daily low temperature in New York City within that narrow range for June 2. Official station data from Central Park and surrounding sites aligned closely with short-range model guidance from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, which had converged on stable overnight conditions with minimal deviation from climatological norms for early June. Market-implied odds near 100% indicate traders viewed measurement uncertainty as negligible given the proximity to resolution and multiple verified reporting sources. Only an unlikely post-event data revision or station malfunction could shift the recorded low outside this bin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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