Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月24日のパリの最低気温は?
24°C 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26℃ <1%
$19,380 Vol.
$19,380 Vol.
23℃以下
いいえ
24°C
はい
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33°C以上
いいえ
24°C 100.0%
23℃以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26℃ <1%
$19,380 Vol.
$19,380 Vol.
23℃以下
いいえ
24°C
はい
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29°C
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C
いいえ
33°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system over western Europe are keeping minimum temperatures elevated in Paris ahead of June 24. Recent model guidance and Météo-France outlooks show daytime maxima near 39–40 °C on June 22–23 with overnight lows holding around 22–23 °C amid light easterly winds, clear skies, and limited radiative cooling. This warm air mass, combined with the urban heat-island effect and high soil moisture from prior weeks, reduces the typical diurnal range and makes sub-22 °C readings unlikely while capping upside potential above 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest two days out, supporting the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C. Updated model runs and the next Météo-France briefing will provide the clearest signal on any late adjustment to the minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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