The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月15日のソウルの最低気温は?
4月15日のソウルの最低気温は?
10°C 93.8%
9°C 6.3%
8℃以下 <1%
$78,581 Vol.
$78,581 Vol.
8℃以下
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
94%
10°C 93.8%
9°C 6.3%
8℃以下 <1%
$78,581 Vol.
$78,581 Vol.
8℃以下
1%
9°C
6%
10°C
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 8:17 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecasts project Seoul's lowest temperature on April 15 at around 10°C, aligning with a strong model consensus amid mild spring conditions featuring light winds and partial cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Current early-morning observations near Gimpo and Incheon airports support this, showing minima hovering at 10–11°C, while historical mid-April lows average 9–11°C, reinforcing trader confidence with 93.8% implied probability for 10°C. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected surge of cooler continental air or increased overnight clear skies enabling sharper drops to 9°C or below, though ensemble models show low likelihood; final resolution awaits official KMA station data by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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