Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's April 15 high near 24°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering warm easterly winds and transitioning from morning clouds to afternoon clearing, elevating trader-implied probabilities for 20°C (28.5%) and nearby outcomes amid this anomalous April heatwave driven by southeasterly flow. Closely matched odds for 19°C (26.5%) and 21°C or higher (18.4%) stem from model ensemble spreads—ECMWF and KMA runs diverge by 2–4°C on peak heating—hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation, haze levels, and urban heat effects at the official measurement station. Historical April averages hover at 18°C, but current drier air boosts potential; monitor KMA hourly updates for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
20°C 28%
19°C 28%
21°C or higher 23.3%
18°C 18%
新規
$184,322 Vol.
新規
$184,322 Vol.
2026/04/15
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
18%
19°C
28%
20°C
28%
21°C or higher
23%
20°C 28%
19°C 28%
21°C or higher 23.3%
18°C 18%
新規
$184,322 Vol.
新規
$184,322 Vol.
2026/04/15
12°C
$10,831 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$11,649 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$15,771 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15,829 Vol.
1%
16°C
$16,204 Vol.
3%
17°C
$19,779 Vol.
7%
18°C
$16,026 Vol.
18%
19°C
$11,024 Vol.
28%
20°C
$8,620 Vol.
28%
21°C or higher
$31,127 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's April 15 high near 24°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering warm easterly winds and transitioning from morning clouds to afternoon clearing, elevating trader-implied probabilities for 20°C (28.5%) and nearby outcomes amid this anomalous April heatwave driven by southeasterly flow. Closely matched odds for 19°C (26.5%) and 21°C or higher (18.4%) stem from model ensemble spreads—ECMWF and KMA runs diverge by 2–4°C on peak heating—hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation, haze levels, and urban heat effects at the official measurement station. Historical April averages hover at 18°C, but current drier air boosts potential; monitor KMA hourly updates for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$184,322終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's April 15 high near 24°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering warm easterly winds and transitioning from morning clouds to afternoon clearing, elevating trader-implied probabilities for 20°C (28.5%) and nearby outcomes amid this anomalous April heatwave driven by southeasterly flow. Closely matched odds for 19°C (26.5%) and 21°C or higher (18.4%) stem from model ensemble spreads—ECMWF and KMA runs diverge by 2–4°C on peak heating—hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation, haze levels, and urban heat effects at the official measurement station. Historical April averages hover at 18°C, but current drier air boosts potential; monitor KMA hourly updates for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$184,322終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's April 15 high near 24°C under a high-pressure ridge ushering warm easterly winds and transitioning from morning clouds to afternoon clearing, elevating trader-implied probabilities for 20°C (28.5%) and nearby outcomes amid this anomalous April heatwave driven by southeasterly flow. Closely matched odds for 19°C (26.5%) and 21°C or higher (18.4%) stem from model ensemble spreads—ECMWF and KMA runs diverge by 2–4°C on peak heating—hinging on afternoon cloud dissipation, haze levels, and urban heat effects at the official measurement station. Historical April averages hover at 18°C, but current drier air boosts potential; monitor KMA hourly updates for resolution shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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