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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 14?

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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 14?

4月 10

4月 11

4月 12

4月 13

4月 10

4月 11

4月 12

4月 13

28°C 30%

27°C 26%

29°C 20%

30°C or higher 20%

Polymarket
新規

28°C 30%

27°C 26%

29°C 20%

30°C or higher 20%

Polymarket
新規

20°C or below

$271 Vol.

1%

21°C

$429 Vol.

1%

22°C

$249 Vol.

2%

23°C

$121 Vol.

1%

24°C

$48 Vol.

3%

25°C

$74 Vol.

5%

26°C

$79 Vol.

7%

27°C

$30 Vol.

28%

28°C

$109 Vol.

30%

29°C

$32 Vol.

29%

30°C or higher

$204 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 12, projects daytime highs of 26–29°C on April 14 under a persistent southerly airstream delivering warm, humid conditions with sunny intervals and isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (37% implied probability) as the leading outcome. Recent observations confirm this trend, with April 12 already reaching 29°C amid similar weather, while seasonal outlooks signal normal to above-normal temperatures for April amid neutral ENSO patterns. Uncertainties stem from variable cloud cover and shower timing, which could suppress peaks to 27°C or allow 30°C+ (22%) if sunshine dominates; daily HKO updates at midnight HKT will refine model consensus ahead of resolution based on King's Park observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,648
終了日
2026/04/14
マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 12, projects daytime highs of 26–29°C on April 14 under a persistent southerly airstream delivering warm, humid conditions with sunny intervals and isolated showers, driving trader consensus toward 28°C (37% implied probability) as the leading outcome. Recent observations confirm this trend, with April 12 already reaching 29°C amid similar weather, while seasonal outlooks signal normal to above-normal temperatures for April amid neutral ENSO patterns. Uncertainties stem from variable cloud cover and shower timing, which could suppress peaks to 27°C or allow 30°C+ (22%) if sunshine dominates; daily HKO updates at midnight HKT will refine model consensus ahead of resolution based on King's Park observations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,648
終了日
2026/04/14
マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 1:05 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 14?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「28°C」で30%、次いで「29°C」が29%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、30¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に30%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 14?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 12, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 14?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 14?」の現在のフロントランナーは「28°C」で30%であり、市場がこの結果に30%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「29°C」で29%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 14?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。