Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 17-18°C on April 14 amid periods of rain and persistent cloud cover from a low-pressure system over southern Ontario, driving trader consensus to 73.5% implied probability for 21°C or below. This positioning reflects recent model convergence over the past 48 hours, where ECMWF and GFS ensembles shifted from slightly warmer signals (peaking near 20°C) toward cooler outcomes due to a stalled frontal boundary enhancing precipitation chances and limiting solar insolation. Mid-April climatological highs average 13°C, making the projected temperature above normal but capped below 22°C by overcast skies. Upcoming Environment Canada updates on April 13 could refine these odds amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on April 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 14?
21°C or below 80%
23°C 15%
22°C 9%
24°C 6.6%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
21°C or below
80%
22°C
9%
23°C
15%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 80%
23°C 15%
22°C 9%
24°C 6.6%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
21°C or below
$988 Vol.
80%
22°C
$266 Vol.
9%
23°C
$287 Vol.
15%
24°C
$356 Vol.
7%
25°C
$309 Vol.
6%
26°C
$265 Vol.
6%
27°C
$801 Vol.
1%
28°C
$541 Vol.
1%
29°C
$618 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$610 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$284 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 17-18°C on April 14 amid periods of rain and persistent cloud cover from a low-pressure system over southern Ontario, driving trader consensus to 73.5% implied probability for 21°C or below. This positioning reflects recent model convergence over the past 48 hours, where ECMWF and GFS ensembles shifted from slightly warmer signals (peaking near 20°C) toward cooler outcomes due to a stalled frontal boundary enhancing precipitation chances and limiting solar insolation. Mid-April climatological highs average 13°C, making the projected temperature above normal but capped below 22°C by overcast skies. Upcoming Environment Canada updates on April 13 could refine these odds amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
音量
$5,307終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Environment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 17-18°C on April 14 amid periods of rain and persistent cloud cover from a low-pressure system over southern Ontario, driving trader consensus to 73.5% implied probability for 21°C or below. This positioning reflects recent model convergence over the past 48 hours, where ECMWF and GFS ensembles shifted from slightly warmer signals (peaking near 20°C) toward cooler outcomes due to a stalled frontal boundary enhancing precipitation chances and limiting solar insolation. Mid-April climatological highs average 13°C, making the projected temperature above normal but capped below 22°C by overcast skies. Upcoming Environment Canada updates on April 13 could refine these odds amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,307終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:11 AM ETEnvironment and Climate Change Canada's latest forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 17-18°C on April 14 amid periods of rain and persistent cloud cover from a low-pressure system over southern Ontario, driving trader consensus to 73.5% implied probability for 21°C or below. This positioning reflects recent model convergence over the past 48 hours, where ECMWF and GFS ensembles shifted from slightly warmer signals (peaking near 20°C) toward cooler outcomes due to a stalled frontal boundary enhancing precipitation chances and limiting solar insolation. Mid-April climatological highs average 13°C, making the projected temperature above normal but capped below 22°C by overcast skies. Upcoming Environment Canada updates on April 13 could refine these odds amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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